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Been a while since my last post, I have been real busy and I don't consistently bet NBA games but I will try to post picks as often as I can. My last post had San Antonio -6 at home against Pheonix as the PLAY OF THE DAY. This was the first play of the day that I have gotten wrong this year. My other plays went 2-1 to make me 2-2 overall on the day. My overall record is now 27-17-1 and my PLAY OF the DAY is now 9-1.
San Antonio -6 vs. Pheonix: The play looked like it could win as the game went into the fourth quarter. Amare and Shaq were strapped to the bench with foul trouble and the Suns reserves actually made a run for them. Shaq and Amare returned well rested and took over the rest of the game. Shaq looked like he was 12 years younger as he dominated Tim Duncan on both ends of the floor.
I will have winning NBA picks for Tuesday, April 15th posted by mid afternoon tommorow so check back!!!!!!!!!!!
Play of the Day: San Antonio -6 over Pheonix. Pheonix has lost 12 of their lost 14 games in San Antonio. The Spurs are sitting only one game back of New Orleans for the top spot in the west. This is the second game of a three game road trip for Pheonix and a back to back situation. Pheonix played last night against Memphis and won fairly easily. The Spurs are an astounding 32-6 against the spread this year at home and an even more impressive 48-12 against the spread when favored. Look for the Spurs to win by 8 to 10 points.
Other Plays to Consider:
1)Detroit +3 at Philadelphia: Detroit will be resting their team while the Sixers are still battling for playoff position. Look for the Sixers to take this one.
2)Pheonix Suns at San Antonio Under 197: Spurs lockdown opponents at home while the Suns have showed they can play tough D when it counts.
3)Detroit at Philadelphia Under 184: Not alot of scoring in this one. These two teams seem to always play games in the low 80's. Considered making this my PLAY of the DAY.
Well, after that fantastic game I needed to take a day off from betting. I was biting my nails from start to finish. I went 1-1 on the day with MY PLAY OF THE DAY being a WINNER. That brings my overall record to 25-15-1 and PLAY OF THE DAY record to 9-0. I believe some of my readers were confused over what my PLAY OF THE DAY actually was. I did think Memphis would be the National Champion, however I knew it would be a back and forth game between two truely great teams. I knew this one could go either way so decided the OVER/UNDER was a safer bet. If you read a few posts back you will see I also did this with the NIT Championship and won. If you read my post on the National Championship game you will see my PLAY OF THE DAY was the UNDER. Im assuming the picture I used in the post threw everybody off.
Kansas VS Memphis: The game itself was an absolute thriller. Both teams rushed the ball up and down the floor and missed a ton of shots. There were lots of steals, blocks and hustle plays. Kansas was terrible from three (until the final two minutes,) while Memphis went 7/16 in the second half from the free throw line. Kansas took a 33-28 lead into the locker room. Derrick Rose, who only score 2 points in the first half, emerged in the second half as he finished with 18 points, 8 assists and 6 rebounds. Memphis led by 9 with about two minutes to go and looked like they had the title won. Chris Douglas Roberts and Derrick Rose combined to make only 1 of their last 5 allowing Kansas' Mario Chalmers to send the game into OT. This is where Kansas took all their momentum and unleashed it on a shell shocked Memphis team. The UNDER 148.5 was a brilliant call as my PLAY OF THE DAY considering the game had 17 points total scored in overtime and still stayed under. Just as I predicted, both teams defenses would shine in this high tempo affair.
I will be back at work with more NBA winners for everyone tommorow (4/9/08)
Kansas vs Memphis: This is quite possibly the toughest game of the year to call. I nailed both games in the final four and both over/unders. Memphis is led by Freshman point guard Derrick Rose who is battling a stomach virus. He has shut down all the big time guards in college basketball including D.J. Augustin, Darren Collison and Drew Neitzel. Kansas is led by a combination of Brandon Rush and Mario Chalmers. Both teams play super tough defense and love to run up and down the floor. Memphis is a 1.5 point favorite and they are the team that I initially felt would win it all. Favorites in the championship game are 10-0 in the last 10 NCAA tournaments. However, 58% of the public consensus is on Memphis and I am not sure if Vegas will lose this game the way they lost the super bowl. Regardless, I have to go with my gut here and say THE MEMPHIS TIGERS will be your new National Champion and will cover the 1.5.
Play of the Day: Both of these teams play a fast paced, up tempo style. However, both teams have to be emotionally and physically spent from the games played Saturday. Both teams also play intense defense and I expect this game to go UNDER 148.5.
Wow, what a fight night. That was by far the best free mma event I have ever watched. Like I said before I would have paid for that event if it was a pay per view.
Steve and I have both been tearing up our sides of the betting. Now the website is a .com and when we get it out there I hope people will start following us because our stats are ridiculous.
I went 5-1 on my last post of the fight night. I got right a nice parlay with Diaz, Manyard, and Florian. That parlay made me a ton of money. Follow my bets and I will make it for you in the future. I changed my bet and decided to go with Florian because I only like to do one upset in my three fight parlays, so I went with Manyard who was an upset. I don't know why Manyard was the underdog here. Sure Edgar has been tearing through bigger named guys, but look at the match up. Manyard is the bigger and stronger 155er who does Edgars best aspect better then he does.
The only fight I got wrong on my post was the Karo fight. I was very disappointed in that fight. Karo is known for grinding his opponents down hence the name "the heat." He came out sluggish and slow in the second round and instead of clinching tried to out strike an amazing striker. Sure his hands have gotten a lot better, but that does not mean he is good enough to stand with a striker on Alves 's level.
The next fight I got right Anthony Johnson vs Tommy Speer. Thankfully Vegas for some reason puts a lot of credit on big named fighters. Tommy Speer has showed no reason why he should have been the favorite here. Anthony Johnson is a great striker Speer's biggest weakness. This was an easy upset to call.
The last fight I posted about was Irvin over Alexander, which I got right. Wow, what a super man punch. I went with this fight thinking that it was going to be a complete stand up war. Irvin could knock out any one if he hits them on the button. Irvin needed to fight his hardest and with the most heart he could have because if he lost here the UFC would start to slip away. I thought he was going to win a hard fought battle, but he got the win quick.
That puts me at 13-3 total on my predictions for this site. Not bad especially considering I picked a lot of upsets.
Another AMAZING DAY. I stay on fire with a 3-0 day. This brings my Overall record 24-14-1 with my PLAY OF THE DAY being 8-0.
Dallas vs Pheonix: Thinking back on it, I should not have made this my PLAY of the DAY. However, it was still a winner since I had UNDER 212 and Dallas beat Pheonix 105-98. The only reason my under pick won here was because Pheonix went cold in the fourth and could not hit anything as Dallas stormed back from a 91-80 4th quarter deficit. I knew this line smelled a little fishy, and thats why I went with the under. However, there was better plays on the board for my POD.
Denver vs Seattle: This is the game I should have made my PLAY of The Day. This was extremely easy. I had the OVER 226. As i stated before, Denver put up 168 and 138 in regulation games against Seattle. Denver also plays no defense, so even a horrible team like Seattle can score with ease. It seemed that Seattle wanted some revenge for that 168 Denver put up on them as they won in double OT by a score of 151-147. For those who cant add, thats 298 points total. This game was too easy.
Houston vs Los Angeles Clippers: Another extremely easy one. I had Houston -9 as they ROLLED to victory by a score of 105-79. Houston is playing their asses off to get into the playoffs while the Clippers are just floundering out there in LA. I knew Houston would come out and insert the dager early. Another game that was just too easy.
NCAA Championship: One of the toughest games of the year to bet. I have a winner for all of you, however tipoff is not until 9:21 so I will wait a little bit before putting my post up. Check back to www.ourpickswin.com for tonight's big play!!!!
I usually do not make alot of picks on Sunday but considering I have been so hot I wanted to try and give out a few more winners.
My Play of the DAY: Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns UNDER 212. These two teams normally put up big numbers so something about this line being 212 smells fishy. It will be close but Im gonna go with the under
Other Plays to Consider:
1) Denver Nuggets @ Seattle Supersonics OVER 226. Did you see the previous two games? Denver scored 168 and 138 while Seattle had 96 and 116.
2) Houston Rockets -9 @ LA Clippers. Just like the other night, Houston is desperate, the Clippers are pathetic... Houston should cover easily.
I thought yesterday was going to be a tough day but apparently I was wrong!! 5-1 on the day, with my final four plays going 4-0. This brings my overall record to 21-14-1 with my PLAYS OF THE DAY being 7-0.
NBA Saturday: My play of the day here was the Kings plus 12 against the Denver Nuggets. Even with Ron Artest and Brad Miller sitting out, this pick came through in a big way. The Kings won outright 118-115. Historically the Kings play good basketball against Denver. That information led me to believe that even though Denver is a desperate team, they would struggle in this one. My Charlotte Bobcats pick was my only losing pick on the day. This line started with the Bobcats being 10.5 point underdogs. Once news broke that Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen, and Paul Pierce would not be playing everyone jumped on Charlotte. They were favored by 1.5 by game time. I got the line at Charlotte +6.5. However, Boston's young players showed that they have taken note of the team's winning ways and dominated Charlotte, winning 101-78.
Final Four: My picks were dead on the money. In the UCLA V Memphis game I took Memphis -2 and the OVER 133.5 Final score was Memphis 78, UCLA 63. As I predicted, Derrick Rose controlled this game. He limited Collison to 2 points, 5 turnovers and 4 fouls. Love did not have the big game that he needed to have to put UCLA over the top. Memphis led almost start to finish as they cruised into the Championship game. Late fouling allowed my PLAY OF THE DAY of OVER 133.5 to hit. In the second game I had Kansas +3 and the UNDER 160. Again, both of these were winners as the Jayhawks defeated UNC by a score of 82-63. As I predicted, Kansas' Defense stifled North Carolina as the Jayhawks jumped out to a 38-12 lead. North Carolina almost made a historic comeback as they cut the lead to 4 at one point. Kansas then took over once again and won quite easily. If you followed me picks yesterday you would have won alot of money.
Tough day today. Was unable to post yesterday and because of that missed giving out a ton of winners. Lets see what I have today......
NBA Saturday: My play of the day: Sacramento plus 12 AT Denver. In the last 10 meetings between these two teams the win/loss breaks straight down the middle at 5-5. In Denvers 5 wins they averaged a victory margin of 7.6 points per game. Out of those 5 Denver wins two of them were by double digits, the largest being by 16 points. The smallest margin of victory was by 1 point. When averaging the points of their 5 wins, the margin comes in at 7 points per game. Kenyon Martin being out for Denver also does not help in this one. While I believe Denver will win outright because they are battling for that playoff spot, Sacramento will keep it reasonably close. My other NBA play is the Charlotte Bobcats + 6 at home against the Boston Celtics. I know this might sound crazy, but Boston has clinched homecourt throughout and have nothing to play for. Charlotte has been on a roll playing spoiler, as they beat Toronto outright last night. Pierce is also out for Boston, and there is a good chance Garnett and Allen wont play either.
Final Four: Might be the toughest two games to pick all year. I will give you picks on both games and both over unders.
Ucla V. Memphis: UCLA is on a mission, this is their third straight final four and without Florida standing in their way, they feel they can win it all. Memphis on the other hand plays with unbelievable intensity. Freshman guard derrick rose may be the best in the nation and will control the pace to this game. It will be strength vs finesse inside as Joey Dorsey will battle Kevin Love. For the Bruins to have a chance, Love will have to step outside and knock down some easy jumpers. My Play on this game is MEMPHIS -2. However my college PLAY OF THE DAY is OVER 133 on this game.
Kansas V. North Carolina: Another incredibly tough game to call. You have the whole Roy Williams saga with him coaching against his former team the Kansas Jayhawks. North Carolina has dominated people all tournament as they have not really been challenged. They will get a challenge in this one. I know I stated in one of my posts earlier this week that I think North Carolina will be too much inside for Kansas, however I have started to change my mind. Every team plays that close game in route to winning a championship and Kansas played it. They are getting overlooked because of the close game against Davidson. Some people just need to admit that Davidson was better than everyone thought they were and they played alot of tough opponents this year. Im going to go out on a limb here and say KANSAS + 3 will be the winner. I also love the UNDER 160 as Kansas really knows how to D it up and will force Carolina to do the same.
