I am getting this in earlier then I normally do, so hopefully the earlier time will help every one out. There is some easy fights to call on this card but there is also some really hard ones. This card is going to be one of the best of the year there are some huge fights on the card, so lets make money.
Florian over Huerta: I can't believe Florian's odds. He is currently -145. Jump all over this. Kenny is better standing and on the ground. I do not see where Huerta could even attempt to win this fight. Sure Huerta is a tough guy, but he will not be able to put Florian in danger any where in this fight. Huerta's best chance is his wrestling ability, so compare him to Sherk. Sherk could not finish Florian and he is a better wrestler and much stronger than Huerta. Florian is going to show that he is on another level with fighting. Lay a big bet here.
Gamburyan over Emerson: Gamburyan is a beast and will show it here. Emerson is going to get tossed and pounded.
Herring over Lesnar: This is really the only bet to make. Not to say Lesnar does not have a chance to win, but why throw a bet on an unproven fighter who is -250. Instead spread your money on Florian and Gamburyan, then put a smaller bet on Herring for the upset. Lensar will win the ground game, but he has to get it there. Herring is great on his feet and has good take down defense.
The two fights I will not bet on is Maia against MacDonald or Fitch against St Pierre. First, Maia's odds do not show a reason to bet. MacDonald is much better on the feet and has a good enough ground game to protect himself. I think that Maia will win the fight, but I would not be surprised if MacDonald can edge out a win. Second, St. Pierre will win, but his odds suck, so no bet there.
Enjoy the picks, feel free to comment or ask questions.
